Tasmania 190 and 491: latest weekly invitations, waiting ROIs and competition
Tasmania’s 15 October 2026 round: 45 subclass 190 and 32 subclass 491 invitations, waiting ROI counts, priority scores and realistic planning expectations.
The source-check date records when the official pages below were last reviewed for this article. It is not a publication date.
In brief
- Checked 18 October 2026: the latest published round is 15 October, with 45 invitations for 190 and 32 for 491 to apply for state nomination—not visa grants.
- After that round, 878 subclass 190 ROIs and 612 subclass 491 ROIs remained in Submitted status. These are registrations, not necessarily unique people.
- Tasmania’s ROI scores are not federal visa points. A past lowest score, available places or an apparent queue length cannot guarantee selection or a waiting time.
This is a dated official-data snapshot and iExcel Group interpretation, not a live dashboard, a ranking of individual applicants or a prediction. Figures were checked on 18 October 2026 against the official page last updated on 15 October. Recheck after each published round.
The latest official round, side by side
As at our source check on 18 October 2026, Migration Tasmania’s latest published invitation round is dated 15 October 2026. These are invitations to apply for Tasmanian nomination. They are not Home Affairs invitations to apply for a visa, approved nominations or visa grants.
The published measures below refer to different stages. Do not add them together as a count of unique applicants, or assume that a place described as available is uncommitted after allowing for every application in the pipeline.
| Published measure | Subclass 190 | Subclass 491 |
|---|---|---|
| Invitations in the round | 45 | 32 |
| Gold invitations | 12 | 1 |
| Other invitations | 33 Green | 31 further |
| ROIs awaiting invitation (Submitted) | 878 | 612 |
| Nomination places available | 944 | 682 |
| Nomination applications not yet decided | 103 | 64 |
| Invitations with applications not yet lodged | 83 | 74 |
| Lowest invited Tasmania ROI score | 319 | 88 |
| Rolling assessment threshold (Tasmania points) | 427 | 81 |
How many are waiting—and what does that count mean?
The official post-round waiting figures are 878 Submitted ROIs for subclass 190 and 612 for subclass 491. They describe registrations still awaiting an invitation at that snapshot, not everyone who has ever expressed interest and not necessarily distinct people.
There are also separate queues: 103 undecided 190 nomination applications and 64 undecided 491 applications, alongside 83 and 74 issued invitations respectively where a nomination application has not yet been lodged. Applicants at these stages are not in the same position as an uninvited ROI.
The official page identifies 26 September 2026 as the oldest nomination application lodged and not yet allocated to a case officer. That is a processing marker for a different stage—not an ROI invitation waiting-time promise.
Do not confuse invitation scores with assessment thresholds
The lowest scores invited in the 15 October round were 319 for subclass 190 and 88 for subclass 491 under Tasmania’s own ROI priority framework. They are not federal SkillSelect points, Victoria VPT scores or Canberra Matrix scores.
The same page publishes rolling assessment thresholds of 427 and 81 respectively, described as a three-month average of the lowest invitation scores. These have a different purpose from the most recent round’s lowest invited score; the figures should not be silently substituted for one another.
The official notice explains that claimed priority attributes are checked at assessment. If attributes cannot be verified and the adjusted score falls below the applicable published threshold, the application will be declined. Intentionally inflated attributes can also lead to refusal. A Gold pass holder who does not meet the Gold attribute will be declined regardless of their total score.
The rolling figure is not a guaranteed next-round cut-off or a general minimum that predicts every invitation. Carefully verify the attributes actually claimed and the current pathway requirements.
What the snapshot suggests about competition
The data shows an active pool of uninvited ROIs in both subclasses while invitations are issued progressively. It does not show each applicant’s occupation, score distribution, rank, evidence quality or likelihood of selection.
The two pools and their invitation numbers should not be used to claim that 491 is automatically easier than 190. They involve different pathways, priorities and applicant circumstances, and their score figures are not interchangeable.
A single verified round cannot establish that competition is rising or falling. This article does not assert a multi-week trend without a verified historical series. The defensible conclusion is that selection remains priority-based and uncertain; there are waiting ROIs and other applications in the pipeline.
Dividing 878 by 45 or 612 by 32 would not produce a reliable waiting time. New ROIs, changed attributes, priority categories, withdrawals, evidence checks and future invitation volumes can all affect selection. Published allocation figures are not individual success probabilities.
What applicants can realistically expect next
Migration Tasmania normally issues weekly invitations progressively through the program year. Its latest notice says the week of Hobart Show Day will be different: because Thursday 22 October is a public holiday, invitations that week are scheduled for Friday 23 October 2026.
That is a published schedule notice, not a promise that every eligible ROI will be invited, that the same number of invitations will issue, or that a particular score will be selected.
Applicants can prepare and substantiate their current attributes, monitor the next official release and keep alternative visa planning in view. An ROI, an expected round or a consultation booking does not extend an existing visa or create a bridging visa.
Use the figures to review your plan—not to guess an invitation date
Review the precise pathway, qualifying employment, earnings, hours, residence and evidence requirements that apply to your circumstances. An apparent improvement in a priority score is useful only if the attribute can genuinely be supported.
The August program allocation was 1,250 places for 190 and 800 for 491. Those original allocations are different from the remaining-place figures in this October snapshot. Neither establishes personal eligibility or guarantees nomination.
Where appropriate, compare employer-sponsored options and other skilled pathways separately, while making genuine work and settlement decisions. Before changing states, jobs or qualifications, consider costs, commitments, timing and your actual visa conditions.
Official sources
Checked . Official pages can change after this date. Links open in a new tab.
